Marketwatch North America

Daily Insights
August 15, 2023

U.S. Monthly Advance Retail Sales for July were 0.7%, higher than the 0.4% survey. Strip away automobile and gasoline sales (the more volatile components) and monthly retail sales climb to 1%. Retail Sales results were above forecasts in all categories, with some spenders still undeterred by inflationary price increases.

The U.S. dollar index is -0.12% with the USD evenly split between gains and losses vs. the G10 pairs: +0.48% vs. SEK, +0.20% vs. AUD, +0.11% vs. NOK, +0.03% vs. NZD, +0.02% vs. JPY, -0.01% vs. CAD, -0.11% vs. CHF, -0.13% vs. DKK, -0.14% vs. EUR, and -0.24% vs. GBP.

The dollar gained more ground against emerging market currencies, advancing 0.53% vs. the CNH to reach 7.3174, its highest since November 2022. The PBoC (China’s Central Bank) delivered two unexpected rate cuts overnight in an attempt to spark consumer spending. Economic data released for China showed a YoY 0.70% decline in Industrial Production and slumping Retail Sales.

Canadian CPI data released this morning for July was higher than forecast, the MoM result +0.60% (+0.30% est.), and YoY +3.30% (+3.0% est.).

Global equity indexes are mostly lower, with the S&P500 futures -0.63% and Nasdaq 100 -0.47%.

U.S. Treasury yields are mixed in minor overnight ranges.

Economic Calendar

6:30am:
CAD - CPI m/m
6:30am:
CAD - Median CPI y/y
7:30pm:
AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
7:30pm:
AUD - Wage Price Index q/q
6:30am:
CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y
6:30am:
CAD - Common CPI y/y
6:30am:
CAD - Core CPI m/m
6:30am:
CAD - Manufacturing Sales m/m
6:30am:
USD - Core Retail Sales m/m
8:00pm:
CNY - Industrial Production y/y
8:00pm:
CNY - Retail Sales y/y
8:00pm:
CNY - Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y
8:00pm:
CNY - NBS Press Conference
8:00pm:
CNY - Unemployment Rate
6:30am:
USD - Empire State Manufacturing Index
10:30pm:
JPY - Revised Industrial Production m/m
6:30am:
USD - Retail Sales m/m
6:30am:
USD - Import Prices m/m
7:30am:
GBP - CB Leading Index m/m
12:00am:
GBP - Claimant Count Change
12:00am:
GBP - Average Earnings Index 3m/y
12:30am:
CHF - PPI m/m
1:01am:
EUR - French Bank Holiday
1:03am:
EUR - Italian Bank Holiday
3:00am:
EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment
3:00am:
EUR - ZEW Economic Sentiment
12:00am:
GBP - Unemployment Rate
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
12:00am:
8:00am:
USD - Business Inventories m/m
8:00am:
USD - NAHB Housing Market Index
12:00am:
12:00am:
8:33am:
NZD - GDT Price Index
9:00am:
USD - FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2:00pm:
USD - TIC Long-Term Purchases

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
usd/jpy 145.866 145.319
eur/usd 1.09448 1.08963
gbp/usd 1.27304 1.26751
aud/usd 0.65221 0.64559
usd/cad 1.35003 1.34389
eur/gbp 0.86094 0.85817
usd/mxn 17.1877 17.0375
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 4472.12
NASDAQ 15077.6
DOW 35092.3
GOLD 1906.64
SILVER 22.56

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Mark Allen

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Mark Allen, a Senior Trader at the GPS Capital Markets Salt Lake City office, boasts nearly 30 years’ market trading experience, with a focus on foreign exchange. Having worked with GPS for the last decade, he adeptly manages market risk during New York trading hours. Prior to joining GPS, Mark co-managed a London hedge fund from San Diego and traded for a multinational bank in San Francisco.