Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 2, 2023

  • flag united states 1f1fa 1f1f8The US government has avoided a federal shutdown after both House and Senate agreed on a short-term funding deal. The last-minute agreement ensures funding until 17 November and helped push US yields higher as markets await a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell later today. The US labor market has shown signs of cooling in recent months and data released in the coming days is likely to show the pace of hiring slowing towards the end of the summer. Job openings data is due out on Tuesday, initial claims on Thursday and Non-farm Payrolls on Friday.
  • flag european union 1f1ea 1f1faIt is a quiet week ahead for euro data, with EURUSD rallying a touch after dropping to trade below 1.05 at the end of last week. The pair found some support as month end volatility kicked in with support seen at the January low of 1.0484 and initial resistance coming in at 1.0607.
  • flag united kingdom 1f1ec 1f1e7The pound remains in the doldrums with GBPUSD consolidating around 1.22. In a fairly quiet week for UK data, markets will likely focus on the Conservative Party conference which kicks off in Manchester today. Prime Minister Sunak is coming under pressure to cut taxes before the next election; however, the PM has said that his priority was curbing inflation and easing living costs. Support in cable is seen at 1.2180 with a breach of resistance at 1.2250 required to signal any move higher.
  • flag japan 1f1ef 1f1f5Month end activity pushed USDJPY initially lower before the pair rallied to within touching distance of the key 150 area where the market fear intervention. The BoJ announced an extra bond buying plan following an unscheduled operation it concluded on Friday in an attempt to curb sharp increases in yields.

Economic Calendar

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AUD - MI Inflation Gauge m/m
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CNY - Bank Holiday
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JPY - Final Manufacturing PMI
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GBP - Nationwide HPI m/m
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CHF - Retail Sales y/y
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EUR - Spanish Unemployment Change
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EUR - Spanish Manufacturing PMI
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CHF - Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - Italian Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - French Final Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - German Final Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - Final Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate
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GBP - Final Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - Unemployment Rate
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CAD - Bank Holiday
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CAD - Manufacturing PMI
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USD - Final Manufacturing PMI
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USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI
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USD - ISM Manufacturing Prices
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USD - Construction Spending m/m
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GBP - MPC Member Mann Speaks
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USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Harker Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Barr Speaks
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NZD - NZIER Business Confidence
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GBP - BRC Shop Price Index y/y
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JPY - Monetary Base y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.86738 0.865
gbp/usd 1.22187 1.21752
gbp/aud 1.9048 1.89102
gbp/nzd 2.03695 2.0208
usd/jpy 149.82 149.384
eur/usd 1.05915 1.05576
gbp/jpy 182.803 181.951
eur/cnh 7.7324 7.7026
usd/cnh 7.3095 7.29163
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 14816.4
DOW 33646.4
S&P 500 4309.88
BRENT CRUDE 92.51
WTI 91.09
GOLD 1841.86

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker

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Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.