Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
July 30, 2024

  • The US dollar is inching higher as markets await key events and data releases over the coming days. Month end related volatility is also expected to help the greenback as we await the Fed’s policy meeting over the next two days and upcoming labor market reports. The yen is softer against the dollar this morning as the BoJ kicked off its two-day policy meeting as markets price a 35% chance that the central bank will raise its policy rate.
  • The single currency continues to move sideways, with EURUSD consolidating in the 1.08-1.09 range as investors await the release of German and Spanish CPI along with Eurozone GDP data this morning. Range trading is likely in the coming days with markets looking for fresh direction from the Fed or US employment data in the coming days.
  • The attention shifts to the US this afternoon as we await the release of the first tranche of labor market data, in the form of the JOLTs survey. A cooling labor market suggests that the number of job openings have fallen in June. Markets will also focus on this afternoon’s US Consumer Confidence report, which is expected to have deteriorated slightly in July. High interest rates, softer employment conditions and concerns over the outlook are weighing on consumer sentiment with today’s print expected to come in at 99.5, down from last month’s 100.4.

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - Building Approvals m/m
:
EUR - French Consumer Spending m/m
:
EUR - French Flash GDP q/q
:
EUR - German Prelim CPI m/m
:
CHF - KOF Economic Barometer
:
EUR - Spanish Flash CPI y/y
:
EUR - Spanish Flash GDP q/q
:
EUR - Italian Prelim GDP q/q
:
EUR - German Prelim GDP q/q
:
EUR - Prelim Flash GDP q/q
:
EUR - Italian 10-y Bond Auction
:
GBP - 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
:
USD - HPI m/m
:
USD - CB Consumer Confidence
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USD - JOLTS Job Openings
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NZD - Building Consents m/m
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JPY - Prelim Industrial Production m/m
:
JPY - Retail Sales y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.84606 0.84002
gbp/usd 1.2888 1.28067
gbp/aud 1.96737 1.95703
gbp/nzd 2.19084 2.17594
usd/jpy 154.345 153.011
eur/usd 1.08699 1.08027
gbp/jpy 198.61 196.78
eur/cnh 7.89309 7.852
usd/cnh 7.27385 7.25741
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 19108
DOW 40598.4
S&P 500 5477.3
BRENT CRUDE 79.84
WTI 75.96
GOLD 2382.69

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker

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Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.