Marketwatch North America

Daily Insights
October 9, 2024

The RBNZ, New Zealand’s central bank, cut its overnight rate by 50bps (from 5.25% to 4.75%), a more aggressive adjustment than what was anticipated. New Zealand’s annual GDP growth turned negative recently, going from 1.50% a year ago to -0.50% in the latest report. The New Zealand dollar sold off in the wake of the cut and is -1.22% today vs. the USD, the biggest decline among G10 currencies.

The USD is higher against all G10 in trading today, following U.S. treasury yields which have moved higher in all tenors. The 10-year yield is at 4.044%, its highest point since late July.

The U.S. Dollar Index basket of currencies is +0.18% today, its 8th consecutive daily gain, and is +2.35% since September 27th.

The surge in treasury yields has weakened demand for gold. Spot gold reached a record $2,685.42/oz. on September 27th and is trading at $2,609.79/oz. today, a 2.82% decline from its peak. Despite the recent selloff gold is +26.46% YTD and silver is +27.54%YTD, among the best-performing commodities this year.

U.S. CPI (consumer inflation) data is set for release tomorrow and PPI (producer inflation) is due for release on Friday.

Economic Calendar

:
USD - NFIB Small Business Index
:
CAD - Trade Balance
:
USD - Trade Balance
:
AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
:
AUD - ANZ Job Advertisements m/m
:
AUD - NAB Business Confidence
:
USD - RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism
:
AUD - RBA Deputy Gov Hauser Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
:
JPY - 30-y Bond Auction
:
EUR - German Buba President Nagel Speaks
:
JPY - Economy Watchers Sentiment
:
USD - FOMC Member Collins Speaks
:
EUR - German Industrial Production m/m
:
USD - FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
:
EUR - French Trade Balance
:
USD - FOMC Member Kugler Speaks
:
EUR - ECOFIN Meetings

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
usd/jpy 149.156 148.009
eur/usd 1.09786 1.09462
gbp/usd 1.31029 1.30554
aud/usd 0.67618 0.67109
usd/cad 1.36862 1.36469
eur/gbp 0.83881 0.83707
usd/mxn 19.4224 19.3158
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 5764.38
NASDAQ 20137.3
DOW 42146.9
GOLD 2612.72
SILVER 30.39

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.