Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 22, 2024

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Following a 0.4% rally on Monday, the DXY Index decreased by 0.1%, currently trading below 103.90. Market experts expect the US dollar to follow a bullish pattern ahead of the Nov. 5 US elections.

The dollar rally, ongoing since the start of the month, has been supported by robust US fundamentals and a cautious tone from Fed officials. The DXY Index is close to the 104.00 barrier, not traded at since the beginning of August.

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EURUSD is hovering around 1.0820 at the start of the day following bets for more ECB interest rate cuts and bullish USD.

As the single currency is reaching the 1.0800 neighbourhood, not seen since the beginning of August, the likelihood of further cuts will hinge heavily on macroeconomic trends.

ECB President Lagarde will be speaking today, along with other financial leaders at the IMF Meeting in the US.

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GBPUSD is slightly above 1.30 this morning as the pair hangs in the balance ahead of BoE Governor Bailey’s keynote address later today.

The pivotal data point for this month will be the Autumn Budget on 30 October. The Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is aiming to rally confidence in herself and the new government’s abilities as the statement will cover spending, tax rises, pensions, and other financial hot topics.

 

World News

 

USDJPY is in the news this week as yen selling is increasing, leading to dollar strength. As US Treasuries continue to be sold, there is fresh pressure on the yen, leading to a break in the 150.00 psychological barrier, and moving past 151 at the start of the day.

 

Economic Calendar

:
JPY - BOJ Core CPI y/y
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GBP - Public Sector Net Borrowing
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CNY - Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
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All - BRICS Summit
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CAD - IPPI m/m
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CAD - RMPI m/m
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GBP - MPC Member Greene Speaks
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GBP - BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Harker Speaks
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USD - Richmond Manufacturing Index
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All - IMF Meetings
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EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
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GBP - MPC Member Breeden Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83327 0.83189
gbp/usd 1.3015 1.29795
gbp/aud 1.95201 1.94329
gbp/nzd 2.15635 2.1454
usd/jpy 151.105 150.497
eur/usd 1.08288 1.08141
gbp/jpy 196.392 195.426
eur/cnh 7.72389 7.7122
usd/cnh 7.13887 7.12865
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20338.8
DOW 42891.5
S&P 500 5852.85
BRENT CRUDE 73.65
WTI 69.57
GOLD 2734.26

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.