Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 23, 2024

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The DXY Index continues to perform well, reaching 3-month highs of 104.20 as recent dollar strength supports the greenback.

Today the Fed Beige Book will be released, providing useful economic data that will steer the Fed rate cut decision on Nov. 7.

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EURUSD is hovering in the 1.0800 range, trading below the key 200-day SMA at 1.0870.

ECB officials emphasised the need to reduce euro zone inflation to their 2% target, with President Lagarde confidently stating that inflation would sustainably reach their target by 2025 or even sooner.

Another ECB member commented, “If there are no upside surprises to inflation, then we could and should continue lowering interest rates, ” providing a clearer indication that a cut will happen in their next meeting as long as ongoing data backs their views.

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Cable starts the day around 1.2980, with the pound facing headwinds from declining inflation data and weaker labour market data.

Yesterday, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey spoke about the need for the BoE to monitor developments in the less transparent non-banking system, and improve abilities to track financial activities outside the traditional banking sector.

 

World News

 

Bank of Canada is announcing its interest rate decision today, with a consensus of a 50bps cut from 4.25% to 3.75% as the BoC looks to keep in pace with the Fed’s interest rate cycle.

 

The yen continues to drop against the dollar, reaching levels not seen since July.

Currently trading at 152.40, yen weakness comes from a surge in global yields amid US election risks and Fed caution concerning interest rate cuts.

With the yield gap widening between the two countries, there is momentum for further yen weakness and dollar strength. Based on recent instances, market experts suspect the Japanese authorities will step in to prevent larger losses.

Economic Calendar

:
CNY - Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
:
All - BRICS Summit
:
EUR - German 10-y Bond Auction
:
GBP - MPC Member Breeden Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
:
CAD - BOC Monetary Policy Report
:
CAD - BOC Rate Statement
:
CAD - Overnight Rate
:
EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
:
EUR - Consumer Confidence
:
USD - Existing Home Sales
:
All - IMF Meetings
:
CAD - BOC Press Conference
:
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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USD - FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
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NZD - RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks
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USD - Beige Book
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GBP - BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
:
AUD - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
AUD - Flash Services PMI

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83213 0.83152
gbp/usd 1.29948 1.29711
gbp/aud 1.94692 1.9401
gbp/nzd 2.1525 2.14605
usd/jpy 152.339 151.132
eur/usd 1.08067 1.07922
gbp/jpy 197.862 196.163
eur/cnh 7.71604 7.6996
usd/cnh 7.14663 7.13329
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20383.6
DOW 42849.3
S&P 500 5854.95
BRENT CRUDE 75.72
WTI 71.51
GOLD 2752.79

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.