Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 24, 2024

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The DXY Index consolidates by 0.1%, trading around 104.40 after signs that the recent rally may have stretched the greenback.

Treasury yields fell across the curve ahead of US jobless claims and PMI data due later today. With hurricane Milton during the previous period, we expect figures to be impacted by the event.

Jobless claims data is predicted at 242K, compared to 241K previously. Composite PMI is expected at 53.8 compared to 54.0 previously, manufacturing PMI at 47.5 compared to 47.3 previously, and services PMI at 55 compared to 55.2 previously.

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EURUSD trades this morning below 1.08 ahead of PMIs.

Expectations for the eurozone PMIs are slightly above previous figures, but little change is expected. Services PMI is expected at 51.5, above the key 50 mark, but manufacturing is predicted at 45.1, lowering the composite PMI amount to an expected 49.7.

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GBPUSD started the day at 1.2930 ahead of PMI data later today.

Composite PMI is expected at 52.5, compared to 52.6 previously. Manufacturing and services PMI is expected to stay flat, coming in at 51.5 and 52.4 respectively.

 

World News

 

Today is the last day of the Brics summit, where Bric member countries have discussed the idea of alternative international payment systems in a move to de-dollarize the world economy.

During the summit, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated “The dollar is being used as a weapon.” Currently, he said that 95% of trade between Russia and China is conducted using rubles and yuan. However, becoming less reliant on the US dollar would unnerve some Bric members, notably Brazil and India, as they look to avoid the club becoming solely pro-Chinese and anti-western.

Economic Calendar

:
JPY - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
AUD - RBA Annual Report
:
CNY - Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
:
EUR - French Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - French Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - German Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - German Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - Flash Services PMI
:
All - BRICS Summit
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GBP - Flash Manufacturing PMI
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GBP - Flash Services PMI
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GBP - CBI Industrial Order Expectations
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EUR - German Buba Monthly Report
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USD - Unemployment Claims
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USD - FOMC Member Hammack Speaks
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GBP - MPC Member Mann Speaks
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GBP - Monetary Policy Report Hearings
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USD - Flash Manufacturing PMI
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USD - Flash Services PMI
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USD - New Home Sales
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All - IMF Meetings
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USD - Natural Gas Storage
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GBP - BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
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GBP - GfK Consumer Confidence
:
JPY - Tokyo Core CPI y/y
:
JPY - SPPI y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83487 0.83216
gbp/usd 1.29594 1.29116
gbp/aud 1.94763 1.94368
gbp/nzd 2.15188 2.1473
usd/jpy 152.79 152.039
eur/usd 1.07936 1.07797
gbp/jpy 197.404 196.647
eur/cnh 7.69381 7.6758
usd/cnh 7.13581 7.11511
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20247.6
DOW 42564.5
S&P 500 5829.4
BRENT CRUDE 75.96
WTI 71.77
GOLD 2736.23

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.