Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
November 28, 2024

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Happy US thanksgiving! US markets may see thin trading activity due to the holiday, with the DXY index starting the day around 106.50.

Recent US data showed solid growth in consumer spending for October but showed stagnation in lowering inflation. PCE increased by 2.3% YoY in October, up from 2.1% in September.  Core PCE rose by 2.8%, slightly higher than the 2.7% from the previous month.

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EURUSD trades at 1.0540 at the beginning of the session ahead of Germany inflation data later today.

Friday’s Eurozone HICP inflation data is projected to show annualized increases for both headline and core inflation in November, which may cause market unease ahead of the ECB meeting in December.

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Cable remains near 1.2650 as the US dollar picks up demand from safe haven support and month-end flows.

With a sparse economic calendar for the next week, the pound will be largely driven by US market sentiment and market expectations around the BoE interest rate decision next month.

 

World News

 

Since news of proposed 25% US tariffs for Mexico, Donald Trump recently met with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. The USDMXN pair fell 0.9% to 20.40 after “very productive” talks concerning migrants and drug flows.

 

Economic Calendar

:
NZD - ANZ Business Confidence
:
AUD - Private Capital Expenditure q/q
:
EUR - German Prelim CPI m/m
:
EUR - Spanish Flash CPI y/y
:
AUD - RBA Gov Bullock Speaks
:
EUR - M3 Money Supply y/y
:
EUR - Private Loans y/y
:
EUR - Italian 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - Bank Holiday
:
CAD - Current Account
:
JPY - Tokyo Core CPI y/y
:
JPY - Unemployment Rate
:
JPY - Prelim Industrial Production m/m
:
JPY - Retail Sales y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83351 0.83269
gbp/usd 1.2678 1.26544
gbp/aud 1.95284 1.94754
gbp/nzd 2.15114 2.14679
usd/jpy 151.75 151.28
eur/usd 1.05628 1.05414
gbp/jpy 192.25 191.593
eur/cnh 7.66011 7.6426
usd/cnh 7.25703 7.23883
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20821.3
DOW 44777.3
S&P 500 6010.3
BRENT CRUDE 72.59
WTI 68.58
GOLD 2638.45

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.