Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
December 11, 2024

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The US dollar continues to stay comfortably above 106.00, staying resilient against other major currencies ahead of the CPI data later today.

CPI YoY is forecasted to rise 2.7% in November, following a 2.6% increase in October. Core CPI MoM, excluding volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise by 0.3%, matching last month’s data.

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EURUSD briefly broke below the 1.0500 level earlier this morning as the pair faces headwinds from cautious market mood based on US inflation data and ECB rate cuts.

Lingering inflation in Europe has increased chances of a 25bps cut from the ECB tomorrow, with November data showing renewed price pressures and rising wages.

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Cable continues to trade in a tight range near 1.2750 as US CPI data comes out later today.

The pound is struggling for direction amid light UK economic data. There are expectations for the BoE to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.75% next week as price pressures continue.

 

World News

 

USDCAD recently reached 1.4200, its highest level since April 2020, as the pair stays in a consolidation phase above 1.4150 ahead of the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision later today. Markets bet the BoC to cut rates by 50bps, reaching 3.25% and getting closer to their target rate.

 

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - RBA Deputy Gov Hauser Speaks
:
CNY - New Loans
:
CNY - M2 Money Supply y/y
:
GBP - 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - Core CPI m/m
:
USD - CPI m/m
:
USD - CPI y/y
:
CAD - BOC Rate Statement
:
CAD - Overnight Rate
:
CAD - BOC Press Conference
:
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
:
USD - 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - Federal Budget Balance

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.82465 0.82351
gbp/usd 1.27816 1.27303
gbp/aud 2.01061 1.99993
gbp/nzd 2.2098 2.20014
usd/jpy 151.872 151.415
eur/usd 1.05393 1.0488
gbp/jpy 194.056 192.938
eur/cnh 7.66544 7.6268
usd/cnh 7.2924 7.24118
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 21406.5
DOW 44243.4
S&P 500 6043.53
BRENT CRUDE 72.38
WTI 68.78
GOLD 2692.28

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.