Marketwatch APAC

Daily Insights
August 4, 2024

US equity markets sold off aggressively on Friday after a disappointing US jobs report.

US nonfarm payroll showed jobs increased 114k in July, much lower than the 175k jobs that the market expected.

The softer than expected US jobs data started a significant equity selloff, causing a massive surge in volatility.

 

US interest-rate markets took the news as a clear sign that the FOMC will have to cut rates aggressively to stave off recession and are now pricing in more than 100 basis points of cuts priced by the end of 2024.

 

The S&P 500 closed 1.8% lower while the Dow Jones fell 1.5% and the tech heavy Nasdaq dropped 2.4% to finish the week 3.4% lower.

 

Market contagion spread to Asia where the Nikkei was down 5.8% – the sharpest one day drop since the pandemic in March 2020, and to Europe where Euro Stoxx fell 2.7%.

 

In currency markets the USD was also hit hard, with the USD/JPY falling by around 1.89% to 146.50, the lowest level since Dec 23.

 

Commodities weren’t left out, oil fell by 3.7% to an eight-month low amid concerns over the global economy. WTI is currently trading at around US$73.52 per barrel.

 

Locally, all eyes will be on the RBA meeting on Tuesday and the subsequent SOMP, to see which way the RBA is leaning.

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - MI Inflation Gauge m/m
:
NZD - ANZ Commodity Prices m/m
:
CNY - Caixin Services PMI
:
EUR - Spanish Services PMI
:
EUR - Italian Services PMI
:
EUR - French Final Services PMI
:
EUR - German Final Services PMI
:
EUR - Final Services PMI
:
EUR - Sentix Investor Confidence
:
GBP - Final Services PMI
:
EUR - PPI m/m
:
CAD - Bank Holiday
:
USD - FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
:
USD - Final Services PMI
:
USD - ISM Services PMI
:
USD - Loan Officer Survey
:
USD - FOMC Member Daly Speaks
:
GBP - BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y
:
JPY - Average Cash Earnings y/y
:
JPY - Household Spending y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
aud/usd 0.65197 0.6492
nzd/usd 0.59592 0.59325
aud/nzd 1.09511 1.08536
usd/jpy 146.559 145.264
usd/cad 1.38853 1.38471
eur/usd 1.0924 1.09029
gbp/usd 1.28103 1.27798
aud/eur 1.67998 1.66987
aud/jpy 95.504 94.353
aud/cny
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 5281.78
DOW 39385.9
Nasdaq 100 18094.9
ASX200 7747.94
GOLD
WTI

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.