Marketwatch APAC

Daily Insights
August 5, 2024

Asia opened the week with a cataclysmic shift in markets after Japan’s Nikkei index experienced its largest one-day fall since 1987, falling over 12% on the day.

The move was a continuation of the theme from last week after US payrolls showed much softer jobs numbers and opened the door to a hard landing and possible recession.

Markets were primed for a correction after they had extended their gains over recent months, and it didn’t disappoint.

 

The S&P 500 tumbled a further 3.0% overnight, now down 8.5% from its peak just a month ago.

 

The slide was less dramatic across the Atlantic but still significant, where the Eurostoxx 50 dropped 1.5%, taking its cumulative 3-day loss to 6.2%.

 

Surprisingly, US 2-year treasury yields didn’t join in the turmoil and were only 4 basis points higher to 3.92%, suggesting that this rout is an equity specific correction.

 

The US dollar has gapped lower over the last two sessions despite its safe-haven appeal, although most of this was JPY related as markets exited long USD/JPY positions on the back of the Nikkei fall.

 

The Aussie dollar was caught in the crossfire and dropped over 150 points in less than 20 minutes late yesterday as markets got out of cross AUD/JPY trades as well. The AUD/USD fell to an 8-month low at .6350 before rebounding overnight to be back above .65 at levels from yesterday morning.

EUR and CHF benefited from the carnage in Asia as markets moved into safer assets.

 

Commodity markets were largely unchanged.

 

All eyes will be on the RBA today at 2.30PM, to see if they will react to the most recent developments in global markets now or wait until their next meeting to see if things calm down.

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - ANZ Job Advertisements m/m
:
JPY - 10-y Bond Auction
:
AUD - Cash Rate
:
AUD - RBA Monetary Policy Statement
:
AUD - RBA Rate Statement
:
AUD - RBA Press Conference
:
CHF - Unemployment Rate
:
EUR - German Factory Orders m/m
:
CHF - Retail Sales y/y
:
EUR - French Prelim Private Payrolls q/q
:
GBP - Construction PMI
:
EUR - Retail Sales m/m
:
EUR - Italian Trade Balance
:
CAD - Trade Balance
:
USD - Trade Balance
:
USD - RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism
:
NZD - GDT Price Index
:
NZD - Employment Change q/q
:
NZD - Unemployment Rate
:
NZD - Labor Cost Index q/q
:
AUD - RBA Assist Gov Hunter Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
aud/usd 0.65197 0.63474
nzd/usd 0.59713 0.58491
aud/nzd 1.09561 1.08432
usd/jpy 146.559 141.67
usd/cad 1.39458 1.37893
eur/usd 1.10088 1.08923
gbp/usd 1.28166 1.27097
aud/eur 1.71844 1.66987
aud/jpy 95.504 90.11
aud/cny
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 5223.27
DOW 38873.4
Nasdaq 100 18043.9
ASX200 7625.84
GOLD 2409.2
WTI 73.96

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.