Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
November 22, 2024

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The DXY index is trading near 107, just below its yearly high of 107.15 on Thursday.

US Jobless Claims from last week was a strong data point that fueled speculation for a slower pace of Fed rate cuts.

Today, US PMI will come out at 2:45 pm GMT followed by University of Michigan Sentiment at 3:00 pm GMT.

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EURUSD is trading at yearly lows below 1.05, the lowest since October 2023, mainly due to continual US dollar strength.

Today on the docket is HCOB PMI data from France, Germany, and the wider Eurozone.

French data has come out, with services, manufacturing, and composite PMI all printing below expectations and significantly under the key 50 data point.

France Services was 45.7, compared to 48.3 expected and 48.1 prior. Manufacturing was 43.2, compared to 44.5 expected and 44.5 prior. Composite was 44.8, compared to 48.3 expected and 48.1 prior.

Germany PMI data reveals a surprise contraction for the services sector, the lowest reading since February. Although manufacturing PMI was slightly higher, all figures are still in contractionary territory.

With weak France and Germany readings, markets have increased bets on ECB interest-rate cuts in the coming months.

Eurozone PMI will come out later at 9:00am GMT.

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GBPUSD extends its losses and falls to six-month lows below 1.26. Strong US data releases and Fedspeak have pushed the pair towards those levels.

UK Retail data came out this morning, with MoM data lowering to -0.7%, coming below -0.3% expectations. This led to a brief dip to 1.2550 before recovering to 1.2570 levels.

UK PMI data will come out today at 9:30am, with expectations largely in line with previous figures.

EURGBP has strengthened to 0.8330, up 0.17% due to weak UK Retail Sales data.

 

Economic Calendar

:
GBP - GfK Consumer Confidence
:
JPY - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - German Final GDP q/q
:
GBP - Retail Sales m/m
:
EUR - French Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - French Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - German Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - German Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
:
EUR - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - Flash Services PMI
:
GBP - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
GBP - Flash Services PMI
:
CHF - SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks
:
EUR - German Buba President Nagel Speaks
:
CAD - Core Retail Sales m/m
:
CAD - Retail Sales m/m
:
CAD - NHPI m/m
:
USD - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
USD - Flash Services PMI
:
USD - Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
:
USD - Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
:
USD - FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83445 0.83166
gbp/usd 1.2594 1.25514
gbp/aud 1.93793 1.93048
gbp/nzd 2.15861 2.14862
usd/jpy 154.956 153.963
eur/usd 1.04954 1.04615
gbp/jpy 194.807 193.784
eur/cnh 7.61221 7.5868
usd/cnh 7.25754 7.2489
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20736
DOW 43913.4
S&P 500 5953.18
BRENT CRUDE 74.72
WTI 70.69
GOLD 2698.35

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.