Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
September 26, 2024

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The DXY rose by 0.6%, recovering after a 0.5% drop on Tuesday. With many of the majors falling more than 1% against the greenback, month-end flows are helping boost the USD after a volatile month.

Yesterday, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler said that she “strongly supported” the decision by the FOMC to cut interest rates by 50bps at the last meeting. Future cuts will hinge heavily on data concerning inflation, employment, and economic activity that will have to evolve before any firm decisions are made.

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Overnight EURUSD fell by 0.5% to 1.1130.

Today’s SNB policy decision has caused the Swiss franc to trade in a tight range, with swap pricing revealing that the market is uncertain between a 25bps or 50bps cut.

ECB President Lagarde will be speaking at the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), where discussions with policymakers, central bankers and academics will take place with a focus on new frontiers in macroprudential policy.

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Cable started the day around 1.3320 after BoE rate-setter Megan Greene spoke on BoE needing to take a more cautious approach to cutting interest rates. This is due to the risk of longer-term inflation pressures. She stated, “I believe a cautious, steady-as-she-goes approach to monetary policy easing is appropriate.”

Today, Prime Minister Starmer will be delivering a speech to world leaders at the UN General Assembly. Coming straight from the Labour Party Conference, with a theme of “Change Begins”, it is likely Starmer will make promises on better global leadership from Britain.

Starmer is balancing a number of priorities at the moment. Currently he is urging Britons to leave Lebanon in light of increasing Israeli attacks, with the US and allies calling for a 21-day ceasefire. On a domestic level, he is tackling donation allegations that today includes a £20,000 donation for his son to study and sit his exams without any disturbances.

 

World News

 

China is continuing to roll out measures to support their struggling economy, where they may insert up to 1 trillion yuan (142 billion US dollars) of capital into its biggest state banks. Additionally, they will provide one-off cash handouts to citizens in extreme poverty.

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - RBA Financial Stability Review
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EUR - German GfK Consumer Climate
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CHF - SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
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CHF - SNB Policy Rate
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CHF - SNB Press Conference
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EUR - ECB Economic Bulletin
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EUR - M3 Money Supply y/y
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EUR - Private Loans y/y
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USD - Final GDP q/q
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USD - Unemployment Claims
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USD - Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
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USD - Durable Goods Orders m/m
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USD - Final GDP Price Index q/q
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USD - FOMC Member Collins Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Kugler Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
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USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Williams Speaks
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EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
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USD - Pending Home Sales m/m
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USD - FOMC Member Barr Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Cook Speaks
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USD - Natural Gas Storage
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USD - Treasury Sec Yellen Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
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JPY - Tokyo Core CPI y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83596 0.83507
gbp/usd 1.33563 1.33122
gbp/aud 1.9524 1.94392
gbp/nzd 2.13085 2.12337
usd/jpy 145.039 144.442
eur/usd 1.11579 1.11289
gbp/jpy 193.492 192.499
eur/cnh 7.83011 7.80309
usd/cnh 7.03494 7.00102
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20281.6
DOW 42148.6
S&P 500 5776.88
BRENT CRUDE 71.64
WTI 67.91
GOLD 2659.84

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.