Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 8, 2024

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The US Dollar is keeping its positive momentum this morning with the DXY Index opening the session at 102.46.

Fed representatives are speaking today, with key insights from Williams, Kugler, Bostic, and Jefferson, where they will be discussing monetary policy and global inflation.

Focus remains on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday, followed by CPI and PPI data. This data will provide a key role in USD demand.

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EURUSD is consolidating below the 1.10 mark as markets wait for key data further in the month.

German Industrial Production data was released, jumping 2.9% MoM in August compared to 0.8% expected. This positive data did little to affect general market sentiments of the single currency, with current predictions for the next ECB meeting on Oct 17 to have a 94% chance of a 25bps cut.

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Cable is trading below 1.31, delaying its recovery from multi-week lows. With dovish comments from BoE Governor Bailey and better than expected US NFP data, there are reduced bets for another oversized interest rate cut by the Fed in November.

World News

China’s NDRC press conference has released news that China will not continue their stimulus support, impacting G10 currencies.

With China being Australia’s biggest trading partner, AUDUSD dropped as much as 0.6%, dragging it lower along with most Asian currencies. Along with this news, RBA September Meeting Minutes were released. The general view was that “policy will need to remain restrictive until board members are confident inflation is moving sustainably towards the target range.”

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
:
AUD - ANZ Job Advertisements m/m
:
AUD - NAB Business Confidence
:
AUD - RBA Deputy Gov Hauser Speaks
:
JPY - 30-y Bond Auction
:
JPY - Economy Watchers Sentiment
:
EUR - German Industrial Production m/m
:
EUR - French Trade Balance
:
USD - FOMC Member Kugler Speaks
:
EUR - ECOFIN Meetings
:
USD - NFIB Small Business Index
:
CAD - Trade Balance
:
USD - Trade Balance
:
USD - RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism
:
USD - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
:
EUR - German Buba President Nagel Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Collins Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.84038 0.83813
gbp/usd 1.31035 1.3066
gbp/aud 1.94854 1.93463
gbp/nzd 2.14237 2.131
usd/jpy 148.189 147.51
eur/usd 1.09888 1.09727
gbp/jpy 193.976 193.063
eur/cnh 7.77538 7.73945
usd/cnh 7.0845 7.04659
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 19806.3
DOW 41950.6
S&P 500 5701.67
BRENT CRUDE 79.5
WTI 75.96
GOLD 2637.64

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.