Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
August 28, 2024

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Month-end flows have helped the US dollar recover from the previous week. DXY rose 0.2%, reducing its monthly decline to 2.1%. This is setting up the Dollar for its biggest monthly drop this year.

At the close of today, Nvidia will release its quarterly earnings. Wall Street expects the company to report second-quarter adjusted earnings of 65 cents per share on revenue of $28.74 billion, double what it earned in the comparable quarter a year ago.

Demand for generative AI products over the past year has fueled Nvidia’s growth. This earnings report has become one of the most important data points that the investing world will pay attention to and markets will react accordingly. Let’s see if it’s still the ‘Magnificent One’.

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The Swiss Franc has moved more than 6% against the US dollar since the end of June. This is in large part to pricing in US interest rate cuts, where 100 bps of reductions are expected by the end of the year, and 225 bps by the end of 2025.

However, cautious policy making from the Fed may lead to a slower easing cycle. Coupled with early signs that Swiss inflation will slow quicker than the SNB estimates, we may see the Franc lose momentum over the coming months.

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During Tuesday we saw cable rise to a recent high of 1.3266. Since the beginning of August, we’ve seen GBPUSD increase by roughly 380 pips.

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USDJPY gained 0.4% to 144.50 following remarks from BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino. Himino stated that the BoJ will raise rates as long as inflation moves in line with the banks main views, with markets being monitored with “utmost vigilance” in case any market turbulence does occur.

Economic Calendar

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AUD - CPI y/y
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AUD - Construction Work Done q/q
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USD - FOMC Member Waller Speaks
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EUR - German GfK Consumer Climate
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CHF - UBS Economic Expectations
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EUR - M3 Money Supply y/y
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EUR - Private Loans y/y
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GBP - MPC Member Mann Speaks
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USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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USD - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.84339 0.84202
gbp/usd 1.32606 1.32168
gbp/aud 1.95368 1.94576
gbp/nzd 2.12491 2.1187
usd/jpy 144.606 143.909
eur/usd 1.11798 1.11347
gbp/jpy 191.428 190.754
eur/cnh 7.9697 7.945
usd/cnh 7.13737 7.1181
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 19588.3
DOW 41285
S&P 500 5630.46
BRENT CRUDE 79.59
WTI 75.51
GOLD 2509.55

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.