Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
August 7, 2024

  • ‘Turnaround Tuesday’ was a better day for markets with global equity indices reversing much of the sell-off from the start of the week. The FX market was a little calmer than Monday – vols edged lower and major currencies traded within tighter ranges as investors continue to mull over the outlook for the US, where the chances of a recession and an imminent interest rate cut from the Fed remain a possibility. The lack of significant US data this week have been both a hindrance and a source of calm as markets have little on the docket to mull over ahead of next week’s key CPI data.
  • The greenback strengthened a tad as markets pared back their expectations of aggressive Fed cuts, with fears of an intra-meeting emergency reduction subsiding. After several days of gains, the Japanese yen lost ground against the greenback, returning to a 146 handle after trading as low as 141.70 on Monday. The move was also attributed to comments from BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida who said that the central bank won’t raise its policy interest rates if financial markets are unstable.
  • The firmer US dollar has dropped EURUSD to test the psychological 1.09 area after the pair briefly traded above 1.10 at the start of the week. The single currency also lost some ground after disappointing data yesterday which showed that Retail Sales unexpectedly fell by 0.3% in June versus a rise of 0.5% the previous month.

Economic Calendar

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CNY - Trade Balance
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CNY - USD-Denominated Trade Balance
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JPY - Leading Indicators
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EUR - German Industrial Production m/m
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EUR - German Trade Balance
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GBP - Halifax HPI m/m
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GBP - Bank Stress Test Results
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EUR - French Trade Balance
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CHF - Foreign Currency Reserves
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CAD - Ivey PMI
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USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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USD - 10-y Bond Auction
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CAD - BOC Summary of Deliberations
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USD - Consumer Credit m/m
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GBP - RICS House Price Balance
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JPY - Bank Lending y/y
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JPY - BOJ Summary of Opinions
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JPY - Current Account

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.86142 0.85823
gbp/usd 1.2718 1.26814
gbp/aud 1.94762 1.93628
gbp/nzd 2.12382 2.11201
usd/jpy 147.897 144.545
eur/usd 1.09303 1.0909
gbp/jpy 188.071 183.39
eur/cnh 7.85126 7.8188
usd/cnh 7.19244 7.156
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 18280.2
DOW 39291.5
S&P 500 5288.15
BRENT CRUDE 76.8
WTI 73.54
GOLD 2395.28

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker

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Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.