Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
November 20, 2024

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The DXY index is trading at 106.4 as the US dollar slowly appreciates, driven by safe-haven flows from escalating tensions of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The news of Ukraine deploying US ATACMS missiles for the first time during the conflict has led to Russian President Vladimir Putin lowering the restrictions of Russia’s nuclear policy. Nuclear retaliation is now possible in response to a significant conventional assault.

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EURUSD moved above the 1.0600 level to 1.0610 during this morning’s session, before falling back below the level and trading at 1.0571.

The single currency stays within the 1.05-1.06 range for the past few days as market makers await progress from the growing Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions.

Later today ECB President Lagarde speaks at the ECB conference on financial stability and macroprudential policy.

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GBPUSD broke through the 1.2700 level at the start of the day after data from the UK showed that annual CPI inflation data rose better than expected.

Prior CPI YoY data was 1.7% with a 2.2% forecast. This morning it came out at 2.3%, beating expectations and helping cable rise as much as 0.3% to 1.2714.

EURGBP dropped based on these results, lower by 0.3% to 0.8329.

RPI figures came out this morning, in line with expectations at 3.4%.

 

World News

 

USDCAD is trading around 1.3950 after touching a one-week low following higher-than-expected inflation data.

Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.0%, beating the 1.9% forecast. This data has decreased investor sentiment of a larger rate cut by the BoC in December.

 

Economic Calendar

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CNY - 1-y Loan Prime Rate
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CNY - 5-y Loan Prime Rate
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EUR - German PPI m/m
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GBP - CPI y/y
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GBP - Core CPI y/y
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GBP - PPI Input m/m
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GBP - PPI Output m/m
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GBP - RPI y/y
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EUR - ECB Financial Stability Review
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GBP - HPI y/y
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EUR - German 30-y Bond Auction
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EUR - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Barr Speaks
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USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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GBP - MPC Member Ramsden Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Cook Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
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USD - FOMC Member Collins Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83582 0.83269
gbp/usd 1.27144 1.26742
gbp/aud 1.94848 1.93957
gbp/nzd 2.15533 2.14333
usd/jpy 155.747 154.583
eur/usd 1.06098 1.05711
gbp/jpy 197.786 196.226
eur/cnh 7.67759 7.6538
usd/cnh 7.24548 7.22759
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20770.9
DOW 43444.9
S&P 500 5939.62
BRENT CRUDE 73.58
WTI 69.46
GOLD 2623.23

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.