Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
October 9, 2024

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The US Dollar Index remains near the key 103.00 level as it awaits further direction from CPI figures on Thursday.

Yesterday, Fed member Philip Jefferson said risks to employment and inflation goals are now closer to equal. With inflation getting closer to their 2% target, and a surprisingly strong jobs report released last week, the Fed seems to be reaching a soft landing.

If you’ve watched the weather reports, you would have heard of Hurricane Milton. This Category 5 hurricane is expected to reach Tampa Bay, Florida later today, causing havoc in the area. Oil and insurance are the main stock sectors to watch as this event unfolds.

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EURUSD is trading between 1.0950-1.10, staying within similar levels from the past couple of days.

ECB’s Frank Elderson will deliver a speech today, before the ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts are released tomorrow. This will provide some indication of the ECB Governing Council’s assessment of the economy and policy responses.

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Cable is trading below 1.31 at the start of the day, with the US Dollar consolidating recent gains amid risk aversion. Market participants await the BoE Monetary Policy Reports tomorrow.

 

World News

 

NZDUSD fell as much as 1% to 0.6076, its lowest since Aug. 19, after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates by 50bps. This was due to restrictive monetary policy, and the Kiwi dollar could fall to as low as 0.6050 as experts see a 75bps cut in November.

AUDNZD has recovered from an earlier drop of 0.3%, rising by 0.1% to 0.6752.

 

 

Economic Calendar

:
AUD - RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks
:
NZD - Official Cash Rate
:
NZD - RBNZ Rate Statement
:
EUR - German Trade Balance
:
JPY - Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
:
GBP - 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Logan Speaks
:
USD - Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
:
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
:
USD - FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
:
USD - 10-y Bond Auction
:
USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes
:
USD - FOMC Member Collins Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Daly Speaks
:
GBP - RICS House Price Balance
:
JPY - Bank Lending y/y
:
JPY - PPI y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.83867 0.83751
gbp/usd 1.31029 1.30661
gbp/aud 1.94586 1.93744
gbp/nzd 2.15345 2.1329
usd/jpy 148.653 148.009
eur/usd 1.09786 1.09568
gbp/jpy 194.587 193.745
eur/cnh 7.76462 7.7371
usd/cnh 7.0745 7.05287
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 20052.5
DOW 42042.9
S&P 500 5743.86
BRENT CRUDE 77.87
WTI 73.84
GOLD 2615.05

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Matthew Hunter

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Matthew Hunter is a trader for GPS Capital Markets at the London office. Before joining GPS, Matthew studied business strategy, focusing on international finance and political science. Matthew looks after our EU and UK sales team with everything from analysis to structuring and pricing.