Marketwatch North America

Daily Insights
August 8, 2024

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims (for the week ending Aug 3rd) were 233k, nearly matching the 240k estimate. And the prior week’s tally was revised up to 250k from the original 249k. No surprises in the jobs data is a welcome respite from recent volatility which was partially sparked by the sharp decline in Nonfarm payrolls for July reported last Friday.

The dollar had been under pressure leading up to the weekly claims release, but has since reversed its losses, lifting the U.S. Dollar Index to an intraday high at 103.426 (from a low of 102.916). The dollar is higher vs. 8/10 of the G10, led by a 0.59% gain vs. NOK and 0.52% gain vs. SEK.

The Australian dollar is leading gains against the USD, +0.51% following hawkish comments by RBA Governor Bullock who said that the central bank won’t hesitate to raise rates if data continues to show persistently high inflation.

U.S. Treasury yields are higher in all tenors, led by a 0.113% gain in the closely watched 2-year at 4.075%. During Monday’s market meltdown the 2-year yield briefly dipped to a low of 3.65%. The medium-term downtrend for yields remains in place despite today’s rally, and the 2-year could trade as high as 4.35% and still retain the lower trend bias.

The benchmark 10-year yield is at 4.008% today, further distancing itself from the 3.665% low on Monday.

U.S. equities are higher in premarket trading as bargain hunting from Monday’s selloff continues. Gold is +1.32% and silver is +1.92%. Bitcoin is +4.32%.

Economic Calendar

:
USD - Unemployment Claims
:
AUD - RBA Gov Bullock Speaks
:
USD - Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
:
NZD - Inflation Expectations q/q
:
USD - Mortgage Delinquencies
:
JPY - 30-y Bond Auction
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USD - Natural Gas Storage
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JPY - Economy Watchers Sentiment
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USD - 30-y Bond Auction
:
USD - FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
:
JPY - M2 Money Stock y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
usd/jpy 147.295 145.424
eur/usd 0.91812 0.91363
gbp/usd 0.78956 0.78655
aud/usd 1.53605 1.52295
usd/cad 1.37585 1.3726
eur/gbp
usd/mxn 19.3549 19.1043
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 5259.96
NASDAQ 18134.4
DOW 39003
GOLD 2405.15
SILVER 26.96

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.